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1/2of the Australian dollar’s buying power is gone since 2000. Every dollar sitting in cash keeps losing value, and the Reserve Bank’s own target says it always will.

Source: ABS Consumer Price Index, 2000 to June 2026

Harrison Spanner · 5 Oct 2026 · 7 min read
The Reserve Bank of Australia sign above the glass entrance of its head office in Martin Place, Sydney
The Reserve Bank of Australia in Martin Place, Sydney. Its target is for prices to rise every year. Photo: Danausi, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

Your everyday account says $10,000. Transaction accounts pay 0% interest, so next year it will still say $10,000, and it will buy less. A$100 in 2000 buys what about A$206 buys now. That isn’t a policy failure. The Reserve Bank’s target is for prices to rise “2–3 per cent per annum”, every year. At 2.5%, prices double in about 28 years. The RBA’s case is that falling prices would be worse. Maybe, but it means cash is designed to lose. Inflation isn’t a glitch in the system. It’s the target.

A$206is what it now takes to buy what A$100 bought in 2000
8.3xgrowth in Australia’s money supply (M3) since January 2000. Prices rose 2.1x
−0.7%a year: what a 4.8% bonus saver earns after 30% tax and Medicare, once 4% inflation is taken out

How it works

How your money loses value

Four steps. The last one happens in your account.

1. Banks create moneyevery time they make a loan 2. The money supply growsup 8.3 times since 2000 3. Prices risethe target is 2–3% every year 4. Your savings shrinkcash and interest after tax fall behind

Based on the RBA, RBA money supply data and the ABS

The Reserve Bank says it plainly: “Money creation primarily occurs via the extension of loans”. Each new mortgage creates new deposits. In the pandemic the RBA added its own: it bought $281 billion of government bonds between November 2020 and February 2022. Energy prices and supply shocks drove much of the 2022 spike, but credit and new money are a steady push behind prices, especially house prices.

Shelf price tags in an Australian shop: organic red capsicum $10.98 each and organic zucchini $6.98 each
Fresh food prices in a Melbourne shop, January 2022. Photo: Sgroey, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

The proof is in their own numbers

Inflation is a tax that never goes to a vote, and savers pay it first.

Money is growing faster than anything you can buy

Australia’s broad money supply, M3, was A$420 billion in January 2000 and A$3.5 trillion in August 2026. Some of that tracks a bigger population and economy. But since January 2020 alone, M3 is up 61% while consumer prices rose 26%. Much of the extra money showed up in asset prices rather than grocery prices.

Growth since January 2000

How many times bigger each one is now

Gold in A$13.6x
Silver in A$10.5x
Money supply (M3)8.3x
Consumer prices2.1x

Gold and silver are Perth Mint spot prices, Jan 2000 to Oct 2026. January 2000 was near a 20-year low for gold: from its 1980 peak it lost ground to the dollar for 2 decades. Past performance is no guide to the future.

Sources: RBA table D3; ABS CPI; Perth Mint

Look at houses. The typical home now costs 8.2 times the typical income in late 2025, a record at the time, against a 20-year average of 6.8. Over 5 years, incomes rose 20% and home values rose 53.5%. If you own assets, new money lifts you. If you hold cash, it leaves you behind.

Gold bars and Perth Mint 1 kilo Kangaroo and Lunar gold coins in a dealer's display cabinet
Gold bars and Perth Mint 1kg Kangaroo and Lunar coins in a dealer’s display. No bank can create more of them with a loan. Photo: Bill Holler, CC BY-SA 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons

The fix: hold some money nobody can print

No bank can create gold or silver by making a loan. In Australian dollars, gold went from A$434 an ounce in January 2000 to about A$5,920 now. Central banks bought more than 1,000 tonnes a year from 2022 to 2024, and 89% of reserve managers expect them to keep adding, mainly as a crisis hedge, says the industry’s World Gold Council.

But gold is no savings account. It pays no income, it fell 29% in A$ between 2011 and 2013, and it’s about 23% below its January 2026 record. If you have a mortgage, an offset account saves you the loan rate tax-free, and inflation-linked bonds and shares are other hedges. Gold’s job is different: no lender can create it. A slice, not everything.

What each fix does

All three are things no lender can create more of.

Physical goldbars or coins you hold,no GST at 99.5% pure Physical silvercheaper per piece,but swings much harder Perth Mint Gold (ASX: PMGOLD)gold in your share account,metal guaranteed, price isn’t

Sources: ATO; Perth Mint

For a long-term slice

Physical gold

Investment gold of at least 99.5% purity carries no GST. Bigger pieces cost less over the metal price: on one dealer’s prices on 4 October, a 1oz Perth Mint bar was about 3% over spot and a 1g bar 13–18% over. You also sell back below spot, so allow for that, plus a safe or insurance. The WA Government-owned Perth Mint isn’t spotless: in 2023 it faced claims it “doped” bars sold to China, which it says still met purity rules. Keep the receipt and assay card.

See the Perth Mint price →
Another option

Physical silver

Silver went from A$8.10 an ounce in 2000 to about A$85, and carries no GST at 99.9% purity. It swings far harder than gold: it fell 60% in A$ from 2011 to 2014. Premiums matter more too. A 1kg bar sells for about 8% over spot, a 1oz Kangaroo coin about 11%, and 1/10oz rounds up to 44%. The gap when you sell back is wider for silver too. If you buy, the biggest bar you can store costs least.

Track the silver price →
One option

Perth Mint Gold (ASX: PMGOLD)

Gold you buy like a share, with no safe needed. The metal is “guaranteed by the Government of Western Australia”, the fee is 0.15% a year, and you can convert to physical gold from 1oz (fees apply). The guarantee covers the metal, not its price. One unit is roughly 1/100 of an ounce.

Read the fact sheet →

Do this today

A 2022 Perth Mint 2 oz silver Kookaburra proof coin with a gold-gilded kookaburra
A gilded 2oz silver Kookaburra proof coin: beautiful, but a collector piece priced well above its silver. Photo: Bruxton, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons
Skip the 1g bars, tiny rounds and “collector” coins. You pay up to 44% over the metal price, and collectables can attract GST.

For how the money gets created in the first place, read how banks create money every time they lend.

Go deeper

What to make of it

Your money isn’t losing value by accident. It’s losing value on target. Cash pays that target, and in years like this one most savings accounts don’t keep up after tax. Gold and silver aren’t magic: they fall hard and pay nothing. But since 2000 they have outrun the dollar many times over. If you want protection, consider keeping a slice of your savings in something nobody can print.

Sources

  1. ABS (2026): Consumer Price Index, Australia, August 2026
  2. Reserve Bank of Australia: About monetary policy
  3. RBA Bulletin (2018): Money in the Australian economy
  4. RBA (2026): Statistical table D3, Monetary aggregates
  5. RBA (2022): Review of the Bond Purchase Program
  6. ABS (2026): Consumer Price Index, Table 17, series A2325846C
  7. ABS (2023): Consumer Price Index, Australia, December quarter 2022
  8. RBA (2026): Cash rate target
  9. Australian Treasury (2022): Budget Paper No. 1, Statement 2, October 2022–23
  10. ABS (2026): Wage Price Index, Australia, June 2026
  11. RBA (2026): Statistical table F4, Retail deposit and investment rates
  12. ATO (2026): Tax rates, Australian residents
  13. Perth Mint: Historical metal prices
  14. Cotality (2025): Housing Affordability Report, November 2025
  15. World Gold Council (2025): Global gold demand hits new high as prices soar in 2024
  16. World Gold Council (2026): Central Bank Gold Reserves Survey 2026
  17. Ainslie Bullion (2026): Gold is off its highs, what that means for Australian investors
  18. ATO: GST ruling GSTR 2003/10, precious metals
  19. Perth Mint (2026): Perth Mint Gold (ASX: PMGOLD) fact sheet
  20. Ainslie Bullion: Live bullion prices (4 Oct 2026)
  21. Perth Mint: Metal prices (3 Oct 2026)
  22. ATO (2026): CGT discount
  23. EY (2026): Australian Budget 2026–27 capital gains tax changes
  24. RBA: Explainer, Australia’s inflation target
  25. Moneysmart: Mortgage offset accounts
  26. Perth Mint (2023): Response to ABC TV allegations

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This article is general information only, not financial advice. It doesn’t consider your situation. Gold and silver prices can fall sharply. Consider talking to a licensed adviser before you invest.